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At the
same time, because of the cost effectiveness of this technology, the
production volume and the market for these products skyrockets and
computer shipments are heading upward. And not only are these computers
shipped in larger and larger numbers, they are more and more capable of
doing things from word processors back in the '70s and all the way to
MP3 players and cell phones and all the implements of a collection of
social networking applications that Web 2.0 signifies. And with all
this, it becomes so pervasive that one can actually talk about creating
computers that can be shipped to underdeveloped countries, and can
operate even without electric power by substituting human labor for
electric power.
It’s a
remarkable record. It was hard work. A lot of capital went into it. A
lot of human capital also went into it, a lot of development and
evolutionary and revolutionary changes.
So let's
switch to a field that's a little closer to us here and look at the
history of Levodopa. Levodopa was found to be effective in animal
models in the '50s, and it was given to patients around the same time
Gordon Moore formulated Moore's Law. It became the mainstay of
Parkinson's disease treatment, and my impression is that there is
no comparable neuroactive drug in any other disease. Fast-forward 40, 45
years and it's still the mainstay of Parkinson's disease treatment. To
be sure there have been modifications to it and adjuncts were developed.
The number of drugs, drug types in the arsenal of neurologist basically
delivering the same active ingredient grew. The modifications have had
benefit to patients and benefits to companies, as measured by the cost
of treatment which, unlike microprocessors, has gone upward in that
period of time.
Dr.
Kordower’s assignment to me is to spell out and give some possible
explanations, from my vantage point, of the differences between the two
industries. They fall into three categories: speed, failure and
success. That's the construct that I want to follow the rest of the talk.
We're
talking about speed, the speed of experimentation, the speed of data
gathering, the speed of digesting all of those and turning those into
new experiments. That is the engine that changes the rate of
discovery. I have a sort of an information wheel in mind, that’s shown
on the next slide.

We do an
experiment, we evaluate the experiment, from this we plan the next
experiment. We all do this consciously or unconsciously. The difference
is that any given intelligence and the state of science, the faster we
turn the experiments, the faster we're going to get the desired result.
This is a very important
tenet of experimentation and infrastructure development in the high-tech
industry. We know that information turns determine success. We can't
make our engineers and scientists smarter. We cannot make – well, we try
to make them work harder but it doesn’t work . .
[Laughter]
...beyond a certain
point. But if we can turn this information crank faster. I'll give you
an example of the heroics we undertake to do this.

We take a
microprocessor, one of those billion-transistor contraptions that are
being produced in millions of unit quantities in very expensive
production facilities. The technologists steal a little bit of the real
estate at the corner of this chip and put in a test pattern that travels
part way along with the wafer. This was designed to give us measures of
the technology and the performance of the chip in a production setup.
Why in a production setup? Because it's realistic, it is populated with
wafers that move day and night. So if you piggyback on those wafers,
information about experiments, they travel like a continuous stream of
FedEx trucks.
We are
using manufacturing, actual profit-driven, customer-driven
manufacturing, to be the host for these experiments. It's a little bit
like using clinical practice to run neuroscience experiments. There's a
lot of patients being measured every day, a lot of patients examined by
physicians every day,
with a disease. Piggybacking the clinical practice with appropriately
designed experiments would increase the flow of information and allow
you to turn much faster. It’s an idea that is practiced day in and day
out in information technology, an idea that is occasionally discussed in
the bio industry.
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