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We have an empirical
comparison. One of the largest cooperative ventures or perhaps the
largest cooperative venture in this field has been done by people who
put together the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative or ADNI.
It's a five-year research project, following a large number of people in
different stages of the disease. It's a $60 million project. It's a
train just like the Net-PD. It took four years to put together, money
from different sources, and it was an exceptional result to put it
together. I think it gives you an indication that putting together a
billion dollar effort, meteor or no meteor, would be nearly impossible.
I guess part of my fee
requires that I give you some specific suggestions of what to do on the
three things that you need to address -- speed, the failure issue and
the success issue.
Attitudes are extremely
important. The semiconductor industry says “what matters is time to
money”. By money we mean customers paying for the product; whoever gets
there first, gets it all. In the bio-enterprise, my impression is the
corresponding statement is “good science takes time”. Is that true? Yes.
Does it help? No.
[Laughter]
I think we're going to go
precisely nowhere for the next number of years until and unless we make
progression biomarkers that measure quantitatively, objectively, the
progression of the disease under any given condition, job number one,
the top-priority job throughout the NIH. It is a key assignment that
should be given in a significant fashion to the National Institute of
Bioengineering,. It was formed to do this kind of projects but let’s
fund it like me mean it, not with 1 percent of the total NIH budget, as
we do today. The one sentence that I want to leave you with, "No
progression biomarkers, no progress".
Failure: the one-liner
that I would like to leave you with is, learn if not to love them, mine
them. This one is truly an issue of attitude. After decades worth of
cultural socialization by a rewards system it is very difficult to
change by order.
The way
the system works today, in my eyes, the reviewers are told to choose the
best science. Best is a very dangerous word. If you wanted to
advertise a consumer product on television and claim it to be the best,
the federal government would be nailing you to prove that you know what
best means and you know that your product is the best. There is no
government agency objectively taking the test on that instruction.

People who apply to the
reviewers, who are looking for the best science, second-guess the
reviewers and give them what they want because they want to eat. The
people who consistently play that game will get promoted and they will
be playing the same game from the other side of the table. And the
cycle repeats, and it becomes second nature – a culture is created.
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